This Week in Earnings: U.S. Banks – Q4’25

U.S. banks are broadly constructive on the macroeconomic outlook entering 2026, citing resilient consumers, easing monetary policy, OBBBA impact, and sustained capital investment, particularly in technology, as key growth drivers, alongside broadening global growth opportunities, with Asia emerging as an increasingly important engine for capital markets activity and Europe showing early signs of stabilization.

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The Sector Beat: U.S. Banks – Q4’25

Overall, U.S. banks are entering 2026 with multiple tailwinds, including constructive macro conditions, a healthier capital markets backdrop, broadening global growth opportunities, and a consumer that continues to hold up better than sentiment implies, though this is largely being driven by the top of the K cohort.

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Commencing the Quarter – Q4’25

Recent earnings commentary reflects management teams navigating a challenging operating environment marked by pressured consumers, uneven demand, and continued macro uncertainty. Across sectors, companies emphasized disciplined cost management, supply-chain optimization, and selective pricing actions to protect margins, while several noted that the government shutdown created temporary headwinds.

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2025 In Review

As we wrap up 2025 and look ahead to 2026, we remain dedicated to supporting your outperformance and successfully navigating the dynamic capital markets landscape together.

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